Tag Archives: Economy

ANTHONY LEWIS, ADULTERATED MILK AND A TAINTED ECONOMY

By Jeff McCord
March 28, 2013

In the early days of his brilliant career as legal journalist and commentator, Anthony Lewis, who passed at age 85 on March 25, referred to a vision of the Supreme Court that served as his touchstone:

“[W]hen the channels of opinion and of peaceful persuasion are corrupted or clogged, these political correctives can no longer be relied on, and the democratic system is threatened at its most vital point. In that event, the Court, by intervening, restores the processes of democratic government; it does not disrupt them . . .”

These comments by Justice Harlan Fiske Stone in a footnote to his opinion in U.S. v. Carolene Products Co., decided in 1938, profoundly influenced Mr. Lewis. In that case, Stone upheld a federal statute prohibiting the interstate sale of “filled milk” – that is, milk or cream reconstituted with fats or vegetable oils from non-dairy cow sources.
Propublica

Source: Angry Bear

Economic Outlook and the Role of Monetary Policy

The Economic Outlook and the Role of Monetary Policy
William C. Dudley
March 25, 2013

Source: The Big Picture

Recession? No, According to Leading Economic Indicators (LEI)

click for ginormous chart

Source: Fusion Analytics

Source: The Big Picture

Achuthan: U.S. Recession Began Middle of 2012

Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, talks about the U.S. economy. Achuthan speaks with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance.” John Silvia, chief economist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC, also speaks.

Source: Bloomberg, March 7 2013


Source: The Big Picture

World Is In a Recession (Go about your business as usual)

Click to enlarge

Source: RecessionAlert

Source: The Big Picture

World Is In a Recession (Go about your business as usual)

Click to enlarge

Source: RecessionAlert

Source: The Big Picture

Ritholtz: Whats Driving Dow’s New Intraday Record?

‘The Big Picture’ blogger and Fusion IQ CEO Barry Ritholtz joins Markets Hub to discuss the impact of the Dow surpassing its 2007 record-highs.

Ritholtz: Thank You, Fed, for Dow Record High

3/5/2013 11:05:11 AM4:03

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The Dow’s march toward record levels has sparked a debate over whether the four-year rally for stocks has been driven more by Ben Bernanke or corporate profits. Steven Russolillo and Fusion IQ’s Barry Ritholtz joins Markets Hub.

What’s Driving the Dow’s Record-Setting Rally?

3/5/2013 11:13:21 AM4:59


Source: The Big Picture

Spending Cuts Are Nothing New for U.S. Economy


Source: Bloomberg

Source: The Big Picture

Change in Government Consumption and Investment

Click to enlarge

Source: NYT


Source: The Big Picture

Bernanke Goes Car Shopping

Have you been shopping for an automobile recently?

If you want to understand the impact the Federal Reserve is having on the real economy, I suggest you do a little online homework and then go hit the auto dealers. You will be astonished at what you find.

Whether you are buying a car or leasing one, the financing component is a very large part of what is typically the largest purchase the average American family makes (homes being the largest).

Regular readers know I am fan of the automotive arts, from the $15k Fiat 500 to exotics that cost 50X as much. I always have a good sense of what’s available, what’s coming out, and their prices. One of my marketable few skills is the ability to figure out the ideal car for a person within 15 minutes of meeting them (its true).

Take this background, and add in my daily awareness of where interest rates are, and one would imagine that I would not be surprised at the cost of buying or leasing a new car today.

As it turns out, I was stunned at the bargains available across all price points.

We lease our cars through the office. By dumb luck, I have two cars coming up within 30 days of each other. I am the spendthrift, while Mrs. Big Picture is the one who reins in my attempt at single-handedly reviving the American economy.

To give you an idea of how things have changed — all due to interest rates — the same monthly payments for leases now buys you about 25%-33% more car for your buck. Financed purchasing power gives you almost as much gains for your buy relative to 3-4 years ago.

A car I suggested to the missus as her daily driver in 2009 was dismissed out of hand as “way too expensive.” It was about $18k more (almost $200 more on a monthly lease) than what we ended up with. The same car leased today cost $20 more per month. Several cars I didn’t even dare suggest last time (lest I get yelled out) we actually test drove and made offers on.

The cost of any given car is a function of its MSRP, the prorams the dealers are running, what is hot or not, and many other factors. But the key factor today is ZIRP — the near zero percent rates that the Fed is running.

If you have half decent credit and are even remotely thinking about replacing an automobile, I strongly urge you to go do some shopping. You will be very pleasantly surprised by what you find.

This is the entire purpose of QE/ZIRP. To stimulate the economy, move houses and cars and other financed goods. You might pay the cost for it in higher inflation (eventually), but mean time, listen to what your Uncle Ben has been suggesting to you — go make some financed purchases.

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I’ll get some details up on the various car prices we have seen and what the negotiations were like later this week.


Source: The Big Picture