Tag Archives: Retirement

How Declining Birth Rates May Impact Your Social Security

First off, you are probably wondering what the heck the birth rate has to do with personal finance. Surprisingly, more than you would think. The main importance of the birth rate is related to Social Security and Medicare. If we travel back in time when Social Security was originally implemented, there were 5 workers for each retiree. This kept the system of paying monthly checks to retirees in line.

Fast forward to today and because of the baby boomer generation retiring, we have turned the scale upside down. Now for every worker, we have 5 retirees. This is not good because only one worker has to fund five retiree’s benefits. It doesn’t take a math whiz to realize that this cannot be sustained. This is why you hear that the Social Security trust is going to run out of money.

courtesy of efleming

Photo Courtesy: efleming

Decline in the U.S. Birth Rate

Recently, it has been reported that the birth rate has fallen to the lowest level since it’s been tracked. This means that soon enough each worker is going to be funding even more retiree’s monthly Social Security checks.

Tie this in with medical discoveries allowing for people to live longer means even more of a disparity between worker and retiree. In the past, you would work for 40 years and receive a monthly check for five years. Now you work for 40 years, but receive a monthly check for 20-plus years. This length of time will continue to increase as we move forward.

How to Solve the Social Security Issue

Lower Benefits. There are a few solutions to solve this problem. The first is to cut back the on the size of the monthly check retiree’s receive each month. Not many retirees are open to this option. And since the older population is more reliable when it comes to voting, no Congressman or woman is going to take the heat for suggesting cuts. For the most part, the government has slowed down the rate of increases in benefit amounts, even leaving it unchanged for a few years. The only other solution was to slowly increase the age in which one could begin receiving benefits.

Increase Taxes. The next option is to tax workers more to raise enough money to pay for the monthly benefits. I haven’t seen a study that says how much a worker would need to be taxed to make the system solvent, but my guess is that it is a lot more than anyone is willing to pay. See the Social Security Wage Base for current limits on Social Security taxes.

I don’t think that one thing should be done over another. I think there is a compromise that needs to be reached (but good luck on Washington DC agreeing to that!). I think that we need to increase the tax people pay along with decreasing the monthly benefit. We’ve already begun to see the shift where people are putting more into Social Security than they receive in benefits.

Create Private Accounts. I feel the best option is a private retirement account option. I know many people are against this because they have been burned in the stock market, but you would do much better this way as opposed to Social Security. As I mentioned before, at the current rate, you are paying in more than you are going to get out. Think about that for a minute. If you pay in $100,000 over your working life, you may only receive $70,000 in monthly benefits. (Note, I don’t know the exact number, I am just trying to make this point clear.) You are losing money! If you could instead invest that money in US Government bonds that are very safe, you would almost guarantee a positive return. Put another way, if you invested $100,000 over your working life, you might end up with $125,000 in monthly benefits.

Most people “see” their quarterly investment report and get scared when it drops and sell out of everything. They can’t “see” their Social Security gains or losses because it’s not on your Social Security statement. They just receive a check and are happy because of it. I’m sure if they saw that they were losing money, they would want to pull out of Social Security, but they can’t, even if they wanted to. So we are stuck on the out of control train, hoping a solution will be found.

How Should Social Security Be Fixed?

What are your thoughts on Social Security? Are you open to paying in more in the form of taxes? Would you be OK with your monthly benefit amount being decreased? What are your thoughts on private accounts? Do you think if more people realized they were losing money in Social Security they would be more open to private accounts?

More on Social Security

Will Social Security Be Around in 20 Years?
Do You Have to Pay Income Tax on Social Security?
How to Calculate Self Employment Tax
How to Qualify for Social Security Benefits
New 2013 Investment Tax: What it Means For You

Written by Don

Click here to leave a comment on this article.

© My Dollar Plan

Source: My Dollar Plan

How To Avoid An Audit Based On Discrimination By The IRS

IRS pick pockets your moneyIt should come as NO surprise to long time readers of Financial Samurai that the IRS admitted to targeting conservative groups since Obama became President. The government already discriminates against those who make over a certain amount by charging higher taxes even though they already pay for the majority of all taxes. Meanwhile, the deductions and credits you get for things such as education and children get eliminated if you make over an absurdly low amount. Conducting body cavity searches to shake more tax dollars out of Republicans is business as usual.

Make no mistake that if a Republican was President, liberal groups would also be targeted by the IRS. Everybody naturally discriminates against everybody. Sometimes the discrimination is overt and evil, other times the discrimination is covertly done out of convenience until discovered as is the case with the IRS.

The bottom line is that people have a strong proclivity to take care of their own, no matter what. In this article I’d like to discuss ways in which people can significantly reduce their chances of getting audited by the most powerful organization in America.

THREE EFFECTIVE STRATEGIES TO AVOID AN IRS AUDIT

1) Stay neutral or aligned with those in power. If the President is a Democrat, don’t be so foolish to highlight you are a Republican. Either indicate no party affiliation or also claim you are a Democrat. America is split 50/50 between Republicans and Democrats under the popular vote and neither party likes each other at all. You need to pledge your allegiance to the winning side otherwise you will not only see stunted growth in your political career, you will also be targeted by the IRS and maybe even the FBI. Don’t underestimate the possibility of the FBI keeping more tabs on Republicans under a Democratic President and vice versa.

If you’ve studied Iranian history or watched the movie Argo, you know the Ayatollah Khomeini went after all of The Shah’s people with great vengeance. The time for great fear and caution is during any regime change. In order to survive and maybe thrive, you must understand your leader’s beliefs and adopt them as your own. Convert, hide, or be oppressed.

2) Donate to charities that matter to those in power. Donating money is a great way to not only help others but to lower your taxable income as well. Donate too much, and alarm bells will sound, increasing your chances of an audit. The key is to donate to the right charities if you have a propensity to donate much more than 10% of your overall income. In 2012, President Obama’s largest contribution was a $103,871 donation to Fisher House Foundation, which provides humanitarian services to military members, veterans and their families. Consider following suit and donating to the same cause, or similar causes in your area. You should also donate to causes dear to the US Treasury Secretary’s heart as well to charities important to the head of the IRS.

The only way I could have partied with Marissa Mayer from Yahoo at her penthouse was if I donated $500 to Ed Lee’s campaign, the existing Mayor of San Francisco. $500 is actually the maximum contribution amount per event to keep money from being too much of an influence on politics interesting enough. The next time I get a debatable parking ticket, a ridiculous property tax assessment, or a noisy manhole cover near my house I’m calling the Mayor’s office!

3) Donate directly to the President. All political donations are carefully monitored so the respective party can seek more donations in the future. We’ve all gotten the endless letters in the mail asking for more money as soon as we’ve donated even $100 to a cause. The more you can donate directly to the President’s campaign the better. Let’s say you go to one of those $38,000 per plate dinner fund raisers for Obama and are a registered Democrat. There is no way in hell you will ever be audited because the person will be so infuriated he’ll never donate again!

Those who donate $38,000 a dinner generally donate much, much more. And those who host $38,000 per plate dinners at their houses are even that much more protected. They might even be offered Ambassadorships in various parts of the world. Even if you can only donate $500 to the President, you will likely be put on the secret “do not audit because we need his/her money” list.

STOP LIVING IN FEAR BY GETTING ON THE RIGHT SIDE

The more money you make, the more likely the IRS will target you. Take a look at the audit rate by income in the chart below.

audit-rate-by-income

Source: IRS 2011

The chance of an audit is a clear reason why so many people who a lot of money stay under the radar. I’ve personally received three audit letters by the IRS in 13 years which is a 23% audit rate and I didn’t come close to making $5,000,000 to $10,000,000. All audits were resolved due to mistakes on my part e.g. forgetting to input the cost basis for my stock sales, double counting a mortgage interest deduction by mistake, and NY State fishing for more money even though I didn’t even work there. Mistakes are definitely one reason not to do your own taxes. But the benefits outweigh the negatives in the long run.

Although my three suggestions may sound whimsical, the point is to simply align your interests with whoever is in charge. If Madam President loves poodles, then you should absolutely donate money to the Poodle Society Of America. If Mr. President is an ardent supporter of Universal Healthcare, then write an article about the wonderful benefits of insuring the millions of uninsured if you have a platform.

I’m always going to give someone in a crowded room the time of day if she played tennis in college, blogs, and bribes me with a strawberry cupcake. If another fella wants to talk but loves big government, has never experienced the agony of defeat in sports, and smells worse than a crusty sock, then I’ll probably move on. It’s all about creating a connection, especially if you don’t have money to buy your way in.

The government will eventually come for you. Do not be naive to think that just because you earn under $100,000 you’re safe. They’ll figure out ways to extend the official retirement age or tax your retirement savings more than expected. What you need to do is build a track record of giving to your leaders on both sides like big corporations do. When the day comes where they are busting down doors looking for enemies of the state, they’ll just walk on by and leave you and your family alone.

COMMON RED FLAGS THAT INCREASE YOUR CHANCE OF AN AUDIT

* Claiming a home office.

* Have a side business that consistently makes little to no money.

* Donating more than 10% of your gross income to charity.

* Making an error on your taxes and getting noticed by the IRS puts you on the watch list for future errors.

* Operating a predominantly cash business.

* Going from making lots of money to making a little money.

* Suddenly making a lot of money from an average amount of money.

Readers, have you been actively donating to your political leaders? If not, and you’re afraid of the IRS, why don’t you get cracking? What other tips do you have for reducing your chances of an audit if you are a higher income earner?

Photo: Peterhof Palace, St. Petersburg, Russia, FS, 2012.

Regards,

Sam

Source: Financial Samurai

Main Ways To Use A Financial Adviser For Experienced Investors

Larry Ellison's mega yacht in HawaiiMy two week vacation to Hawaii was perfect except for one thing. My financial adviser from Citibank failed to call me the day a particular deal was closing as previously discussed. This investment offered between a 15% to 20% guaranteed return on the Dow Jones over four years if the Dow closes above the initial strike price plus any upside beyond the guarantee and a 10% downside buffer. I wanted to know whether the guaranteed return was 15%, 16%, 17%, 18%, 19%, or 20% to determine how much to invest. I already made up my mind that I would lob anywhere between $20,000 – $30,000 into this note.

Instead of getting a call on the day of closing, I get an e-mail two days after the close saying he got his calendars totally mixed up. Sigh. At least give a believable excuse!

Tim’s lack of follow up is costing me around $1,000 in paper gains in just a couple of weeks as the Dow has moved from 14,300 to over 15,000 at the moment. As an early retiree, I’m investing all the disposable income I’ve got because I’m looking for capital appreciation and income to help replace my lack of W2 income. Leaving cash in a money market account yielding 0.1% is a financial crime I refuse to commit.

Lesson learned. For those of you who are interested in an upcoming IPO and plan on going away for vacation, put in your IOI (indication of interest) before you leave and stagger your order size depending on the final price. My financial adviser might still forget to input the order, but at least there will be an e-mail trail indicating my IOI, and the firm can fill the order in arrears.

THE MAIN WAYS TO USE A FINANCIAL ADVISOR 

* Investment ideas. There are always interesting investment opportunities somewhere, it just takes effort to look. If you have another set of eyes specifically looking for investment ideas meeting criteria you’ve discussed beforehand, then you increase your chances of finding hidden gems. You can ask your financial adviser to send you a weekly e-mail with what went on in the markets, a screen of buy or sell ideas, or big news and analysis. Somebody is always making money on something, somewhere.

* A sounding board. Hopefully your financial adviser is financially astute, and not just a salesman looking to get you into the latest product with high embedded fees. If you have an experienced financial adviser, definitely use him or her to test out your ideas. For example, I made a three minute pitch to buy Chinese internet stocks to see if he had any feedback that I might be missing. He echoed most people’s concerns about corporate governance and voodoo accounting. But really, he had no idea about Chinese equities and was just trying to put on his best guess. Before you buy anything, it’s always good to understand a reason why someone would be selling.

* Learning seminars. My financial adviser at Fidelity where I have my rollover IRA always e-mails me the latest upcoming seminars that are hosted in her office. The latest two are: Lessons From The Downturn and Intermediate Options Strategies. If I want to learn something, get some free food and beverages, and meet new folks, what better way than to attend one of these sessions. Leverage your financial adviser to expand your knowledge.

* Tax and estate planning. Many of us are financially astute in making and saving money, but when it comes to taxes and estate planning we need as much help as possible to avoid getting robbed by the tax man given tax laws are always changing. I plan on discussing Rule 72(t) strategies with my adviser later in the month as well as talk about potentially opening up a Fidelity Personal Retirement Annuity, which is not an annuity, but a fund where I can contribute after tax dollars, regardless of my income level and allow the growth to compound tax free. The FPRA is much like an IRA. Financial advisers generally have colleagues in different branches who can help you out on a multitude of financial issues.

* To relax and enjoy life. Most of you with financial means have better things to do with your lives than just watch over our money. You’ve got countries to see, family to be with, inventions to create, and work to do. While in Hawaii I was hiking, playing golf, surfing, scuba diving, eating like a hungry hippo, horseback riding, and watching sunsets over a different cocktail every single day. The last thing I wanted to do was think about whether Apple would beat estimates or sink further below $400. Knowing that a financial adviser has my back lets me relax on the more important things in life. Money is only a means to an end. If something big is happening or a position is blowing up in your portfolio, trust that s/he will let you know and make prudent decisions for you or at least give you a heads up.

MANAGE YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISER FOR A BETTER RELATIONSHIP

It’s important to set expectations in the beginning for what you want out of a financial adviser. For my financial adviser at Citibank where I’ve developed a relatively meaningful portfolio, my #1 request is to have him e-mail me the prospectuses of all new index or single stock structured products that comes up every month and let me know which one he likes best. Given I plan on investing new money every single month, it’s important to be aware of a steady pipeline of new securities.

For my financial adviser at Fidelity, all I ask her to do is put me on the mailing list for all upcoming investment seminars that are held in her office downtown. I enjoy learning new things and meeting new people. I’m particularly interested in shielding as much of my investments as possible from the tax man, so I’ve asked her to let me know whenever there are any new tax efficient product offerings.

To make sure I know where all my money is going, I simply aggregate all my financial accounts online and check in once a week or so to make sure everything is on track. Sometimes I catch ridiculous bank fees I had no idea I was paying. Other times I just like to make sure I have a comfortable net worth mix. Finally, once a quarter I run my portfolios through the Investment Checkup tab to see where I am under or over allocated for someone with my risk tolerance. It’s nice being in the command center.

If you want further motivation to save, getting a financial adviser assigned to you for free because you have X amount of money with an institution is a very nice perk. There is something very comforting knowing that someone is watching over your investments, especially when you’re away on vacation. I know many older retirees who dial up their financial advisers just to shoot the breeze because they are bored and want someone to talk to.

If you are not there yet, don’t worry as it just takes time. Financial institutions really do start favoring their larger customers with better product offerings, lower borrowing rates, and better service for the most part. You may even get invited to social  boondoggles just because they want to keep you entertained. Once you amass a large enough financial nut, just make sure your financial adviser is at least on the ball with what you’re looking for. Now if I can only get that $1,000 in paper profits back.

Related post: Questions To Ask And Think About Before Hiring A Financial Adviser

Photo: Larry Ellison’s mega yacht. You know his financial adviser is keeping him up to date on his billions!

Regards,

Sam

Source: Financial Samurai

3 Steps to Successful Investing

It’s all over the news about how the stock market is now trading at all-time highs. For many investors, your portfolios should now be worth more than they were back in 2007 before the financial crisis hit. I say should for two reasons, the first being this assumes you actually stayed invested in the market. The second reason is because many of the investors that I deal with have already recouped their losses from the financial meltdown, and they did so back in 2011. You may be asking how this is possible and what sorts of tricks were used to achieve this. The truth is there are no tricks. It was done by doing what any investor should do that wants to be successful when investing in the stock market.

courtesy of worradmu

Photo Courtesy: worradmu

Diversify

On order to be successful when investing you need to diversify. This is where the old saying “don’t put all of your eggs in one basket” comes into play. You need an asset allocation with a healthy mix of stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities. From there, you need to break down the asset classes further into small and large cap stocks, and domestic and international stocks. As most of you know, the reason for this is because many times, when one asset class is declining, another is rising. This offsets your losses. For help with creating portfolios, I highly recommend Paul Merriam’s book, “Live it Up Without Outliving Your Money”. It’s a short read and he creates portfolios that you can use.

Rebalance

Rebalaning, by some experts gets a bad rap. If you do it too often, it can backfire against you (don’t worry, I won’t go into the heavily technical reasons why). You should look to rebalance annually. I say look because you won’t always have to rebalance. You should only do so if your investments stray by 5% or more from their targets. By rebalancing, you ensure that you are always in-line with regards to your risk tolerance and you will also ensure that you buy low and sell high. The reasons for this are clear:

On the topic of risk, if you take on more much risk than you want, you could set yourself up for losing more money than you wanted it. On the flip side, if you take on too little risk, you might not have enough assets to last you through retirement.

When it comes to buying low and selling high, rebalancing forces you to sell your positions that have risen in value (sell high) and buying those that have decreased in value (buying low).

Read more: Should You Rebalance Your Portfolio or Let it Ride?

Stay the Course

It is very important to stay invested in the market at all times. Trying to time the market by buying in and selling out does not work. Recent studies show that the average investor, one that is constantly in and out of the market, earned 2.3% over the last 20 years. Had you just invested in the S&P 500 you would have earned close to 8%.

Let me say this again: you cannot time the market! No one knows what is going to happen in the market. If someone says they do, ask to see their bank account because it better have gazillions of dollars in it. Think about it, if someone says they know that the market is going to rise or fall on certain day, wouldn’t they use every cent they could get their hands on and put it in the market to make more money? I know I would.

I realize that this step is not very easy with all of the media coverage blowing issues out of proportion. But you have to do your best to ignore it. Turn the channel or go for a walk. Do anything that will get your mind off of the movement in the markets. The less you hear the noise, the less you will worry about it or be inclined to take action. Many investors that sold out of the market in 2008 never came back in and have missed this great run up in prices. Some of those that did enter back into the market sold out at the end of 2012 because of the fiscal cliff fiasco. What happened since? The market kept rising. This isn’t to say the market is going to continue to rise, but to show you that we have no clue where the market is headed. Don’t trust anyone that tells you otherwise.

Final Thoughts

If you follow these 3 steps, you will be ahead of the majority of investors out there. You may not be able to retire tomorrow if you follow these steps, but it will put you in a much better financial situation if you do. As I pointed out, some of these are easier said than done. But do your best to stick with the plan so that you can realize your financial dreams.

More on Investing

New 2013 Investment Tax: What it Means For You
11 Reasons Why Investors Fail
How to Calculate Annual Investment Returns
2013 Roth 401k and Roth IRA Limits
Unveiling The Retirement Myth Book Review
Can You Have a 401k and an IRA at the Same Time?

Written by Don

Click here to leave a comment on this article.

© My Dollar Plan

Source: My Dollar Plan

The Ideal Withdrawal Rate For Retirement Does Not Touch Principal

Resting Old Man Of SantoriniIf you have tremendous money strength, you will never have to draw down on your retirement principal. Your goal, if you choose to accept, is to create an estate that will provide for your loved ones long after you are gone. This is what endowments do. Why not consider doing the same if you are a magnanimous and financially savvy individual? You’re reading Financial Samurai after all!

I always scratch my head when I hear advisors talk about the “4% withdrawal rule” or any withdrawal rate that’s greater than a risk free rate of return for that matter. Times have changed folks. Interest rates are close to zero, the stock market isn’t a slam dunk, and we are living much longer now.

There are so many variables that it is impossible to calculate a bullet proof withdrawal rate rule unless that rate is 0%. Sure, there’s a 99% chance you will die before 110 and a 99.9% chance you’ll die before 150, but who really knows? We might be one with machines by the year 2030 and live forever!

Instead of thinking about how much you can withdrawal to bleed your retirement funds down to $0 by the time you die, I highly encourage everyone to think about leaving a financial legacy for your loved ones that is so great you’ll never run out of money. Related: Is Not Wanting To Be Rich Selfish?

BREAKING DOWN THE IDEAL WITHDRAWAL RATE

Let’s assume everybody retires at 65 with $1 million dollars. We all know that becoming a millionaire is fast becoming a rule rather than the exception thanks to inflation, rising assets, improved financial advice, and blogs such as this one that gives everything away for free and asks for nothing in return.

You’ve now got to calculate your life expectancy, health care costs, market returns, withdrawal rate, and living expenses. These are five variables that must be figured out. There are 120 different ways to arrange these variables to make them work if each is a stand alone permutation. Let’s say each of the variables has multiple permutations. There will literally be hundreds of thousands of combinations to choose from.

The point I’m trying to make is that even with the basic assumption of retiring by 65 with $1 million dollars and a 4% withdrawal rate yielding $40,000 a year, this might not be reasonable for many people. Everybody’s lifestyles are difference. The calculations therefore become simply academic gymnastics that help us feel better about our chances of living a comfortable retirement. The more conservative our assumptions (leaving money left over), the better we will feel and vice versa.

LET’S MOVE TO A DIFFERENT LEVEL

Memento film posterIt’s fun to run various scenarios for retirement as I did with my 401k especially since it’s free and easy to do nowadays. I ran a Conservative, Base, and Blue Sky Scenario with Personal Capital and I came up with inflation and tax adjusted amounts of $500,000, $1 million, and $2.5 million after 25 more years of saving and investing. A $2 million spread is huge and not something one can easily plan for.

With $500,000, $1,000,000 and $2.5 million inflation and tax adjusted, I will have $20,000, $40,000, and $100,000 a year to live off for another 25 years until I’m 90, assuming I retire at 65. And what do you know? The annual retirement money is based off a 4% withdrawal rate assuming zero growth.

Everybody can probably comfortable live off $40,000-$100,000 a year in retirement in today’s dollars. But again, what if we live until 100, or what if health care costs skyrocket further? What if we have an even more aggressive President who decides to raise tax rates on everyone and not just those making over a certain amount? All of these assumptions are based of other assumptions. If one assumption is wrong, the entire retirement foundation may be off.

If you’ve ever seen the cult movie Memento with with Guy Pierce and Carrie-Ann Moss, you undertand exactly what I mean.

THE IDEAL WITHDRAWAL RATE SHOULD BE BASED ON TWO FIGURES

1) The 10-year government bond yield. The 10 year US Treasury yield changes every single day and is another metric for the risk free rate of return. For the past 30 years the 10 year bond yield has come down due to lower inflation and more efficient economic policies. We’re currently at around 1.8% today and I think we’ll remain under 2% for the next couple of years. I encourage everyone to adjust their annual withdrawal rate based on the average rate for the past 12 months. You can easily check where the latest rate is by checking on Yahoo Finance.

2) The S&P 500 dividend yield. The current S&P 500 dividend yield is roughly 2%. Dividend yields can rise when dividend payout ratios increase or the market tanks. If what you are mainly focused on is income, then withdrawing at the rate of the market’s entire dividend yield will mean that you will never touch your principal. Your principal might collapse, as many portfolios did between 2008-2010, but your portfolio will never be further reduced by your own doing. You can find an up to date S&P 500 dividend yield chart here. If you look at the historical chart, you can see how a 4% withdrawal rate made sense in the 1970s, 80s, and early 90s, but not now. Not even close.

S&P 500 dividend yield

S&P 500 Dividend Yield

The two figures are at very similar levels as you can tell. When the stock market dividend yield yields more than a 10-year US treasury bond yield, it’s generally a good sign to invest in equities. Equities not only provides you a higher income, equities also gives you a greater chance of making more money on your principal.

RETIRE HAPPY AND SAFE RATHER THAN SAD AND SORRY

If you end up old and broke, there’s little hope of getting back on your financial feet for the remaining years of your life. Using the S&P 500 dividend yield or 10-year treasury yield as a safe withdrawal rate will ensure that you do not run out of money in retirement. When you are in retirement, only then will you truly know how much you will need to be happy.

Some of you might be thinking that it’s foolish to die with too much money. In many ways, you are right. But remember, we are talking about financial security and leaving money for our most loved ones. Our loved ones don’t have to be our daughters and sons. They can be a cause we care about such as fighting cancer, supporting the arts, or providing funding for foster kids.

When we shift our retirement withdrawal rate to a level which does not touch principal, we suddenly start changing the way we view money. We save more because we’re not only thinking only about ourselves anymore. We invest more carefully because people are counting on us. We do our research more thoroughly because we want to help others.

Inflation is a perpetuity, so too can your retirement funds through CDs, real estate, P2P lending, dividends, and royalties. The more income streams you can produce the better. When it’s time to start sleeping in because you no longer have to work, you just might not need to withdrawal any of your retirement funds at all!

Readers, what do you think is the ideal withdrawal rate? Why do you think people still use a 4% withdrawal rate when interest rates and dividend yields have collapsed over the years? 

Regards,

Sam

Source: Financial Samurai

Use Rule 72(t) To Withdraw Money Penalty Free From An IRA

View from Koko Head, Oahu

View from Koko Head, Oahu

After rolling over my 401(k) into an IRA, I’d like to focus on potentially the single most beneficial reason why everyone should convert their 401(k) into an IRA after they leave their jobs: Rule 72(t).

Rule 72(t) allows for penalty-free withdrawals of your IRA account before the age of 59.5 provided that the IRA holder take at least five “substantially equal periodic payments” (SEPPs). The amount depends on the IRA owner’s life expectancy calculated with various IRS-approved methods.

Three IRS approved methods to calculate SEPP:

1) Required minimum distribution method: This method takes your current balance and divides it by your single life expectancy or joint life expectancy. Your payment is then recalculated each year with your account balance as of December 31st of the preceding year and your current life expectancy. With this method, your payments will change depending on your account value.

2) Fixed amortization method: This method amortizes your account balance over your single life expectancy, the uniform life expectancy table, or joint joint life expectancy with your oldest named beneficiary. Such a method is more stable.

3) Fixed annuitization method: This method uses an annuity factor to calculate your SEPP. It’s hard enough calculating life expectancy and portfolio performance, let alone forecast interest rates for annuities so let’s skip this method.

The most common withdrawal calculation method is #1. I’d like to use my example for how using Rule 72(t) can help an early retiree extract more income and lead a more comfortable financial life.

TAXES BAD, MORE INCOME GOOD

Situation: Rolled over my 401(k) of 13 years to a IRA in the spring of 2013.

Estimated IRA value: $400,000

Investment style: Aggressive, but open to be more conservative if I use Rule 72(t).

View on taxes: Hate them

During my working years, I was unfortunate enough to pay the top federal income tax brackets of 35-39.6%. Given such a high tax bracket, I gladly maxed out my 401(k) every year to save on taxes. Because I earned more than $100,000, I wasn’t allowed to contribute to a traditional IRA sadly enough. For those of you who have such an opportunity to contribute, don’t waste it.

My last full year of 401(k) contribution was for $17,000 in 2012. At a 35% federal income tax rate, I was able to save $5,950 in federal income taxes in addition to $1,836 (10.8%) in California state income taxes. The total tax savings by maxing out my 401(k) comes out to roughly $7,786.

Now that I am retired, I’ve managed to get my Adjusted Gross Income (AGI = income after deductions) down to the 25% tax bracket. If I utilize Rule 72(t) based on a minimum distribution method, I can now withdraw from my converted IRA at a 10% lower tax rate (35% – 25%)!

Based on my 401(k) dashboard where I’ve run different retirement scenarios, it states that I contributed roughly $200,000 to my 401(k) over 13 years with the remaining $200,000+ coming from match, profit sharing, and investment returns. To take a conservative approach to tax savings, all I would therefore do is multiply $200,000 in contributions by my tax savings of 10% to equate to $20,000 in less taxes I’ll have paid in my 13 year career. I can also simply take my entire 401(k) balance of $400,000 and multiply it by 10% to get $40,000 in tax savings since I could have also withdrawn the funds while I was working.

The bottom line: I’m able to save $20,000 – $40,000 in taxes with Rule 72(t).

SETTING UP THE IRA FOR PERPETUAL LOW TAXED INCOME

Besides the tremendous tax savings I know I will instantly get if I use Rule 72(t), I can potentially also set myself up for a potential perpetual income stream for eternity, or until the world comes to an end! Please read on to find out how.

Consideration: Change investment goal from aggressive capital appreciation to long term dividend aristocrat stocks for income.

Withdrawal calculation: Based on a single life expectancy of 85, I simply take 85 – current age 35 = 50 and divide my IRA value of $400,000 by 50 to get $8,000 a year in withdrawal. $8,000 a year equates to a 2% withdrawal yield on my entire IRA portfolio. Coincidentally, the dividend yield on the S&P500 is around also around 2%.

Specific strategy #1: If I dump my entire IRA into the S&P 500 ETF SPY or SDY, the S&P500 Dividend ETF, I could theoretically withdraw $8,000 a year for the rest of my life without reducing much if any of the principal! One can conservatively assume that over the course of 50 years, stocks and therefore my IRA and dividend interest will grow at least the pace of inflation.

Specific strategy #2: Instead of investing my entire IRA into the S&P 500 index SPY, I can focus on a smaller portfolio of higher yielding dividend stocks with dividends all above 3%.  Here are some names: AT&T (4.8% dividend yield), HCP (4%), Consolidated Edison (3.9%), Legett & Platt (3.6%), Nucor (3.4%), Chevron (3.3%), Kimberly Clark (3.2%), Procter & Gamble (3.1%), Johnson & Johnson (3.1%), McDonald’s (3%), Clorox (3%). With a blended dividend yield of around 3.4%, I can now withdraw $13,600 a year at a 25% tax rate without ever drawing down principal.

$8,000 – $13,600 a year in dividend income isn’t much, but it’s much more than what I thought I would ever receive before the age of 59.5. It’s good to know that this is a potentially accessible stream of passive income to add to my passive income portfolio.

STARTING RULE 72(t) AT AN OLDER AGE 

Age 35 is admittedly a little early to start withdrawing from an IRA using Rule 72(t) as it will take away from maximum compounding. $400,000 is a nice amount, but as we’ve seen in the above calculations, the income stream isn’t very strong. Let’s use three examples which will help reduce the number of years for withdrawal in order to boost the income stream.

Example #1: If I start withdrawing at age 35 with on a 85 single life expectancy estimate, 50 years of withdrawal gives a 2% yield vs. a ~2.2% S&P500 dividend yield. I basically withdraw 100% of what the S&P500 spits out every single year in dividends plus a small 0.2% cushion.

Example #2: If I started withdrawing at age 45 with a 85 single life expectancy estimate, 40 years of withdrawal gives a 2.5% yield based on $10,000 a year divided by $400,000.  I’m now slightly over the S&P 500 dividend yield and will probably look to buy the highest S&P 500 dividend yielding stocks via the ETF SDY at the very least.

Example #3: If I start withdrawing at age 55 with a 85 single life expectancy estimate, 30 years of withdrawal gives a 3.3% yield based on $13,333 a year divided by $400,000. This is roughly the maximum I can currently withdraw without spending down the IRA principal.

Example #4: Let’s say I start withdrawing at age 45 with a 95 single life expectancy estimate. This leads back to a 50 year withdrawal level with a 2% yield. On the one hand, living longer increases the likelihood that a IRA portfolio will last forever. On the other hand, you’ll need more money to pay for your life. Hence, it’s better to assume you live longer than the median age and build alternative income streams.

MONEY IS A MEANS TO AN END

I’ve always mentally written off my 401(k), which is now an IRA because I never wanted to depend on government sponsored pre-tax programs to survive in retirement. The same thing goes for social security. This is the reason why I’ve aggressively saved more than 50% of my after tax income every year I worked. If all I had was my 401(k)/IRA in retirement and no other savings or income streams, I’d be screwed because I never planned on working for 37.5 consecutive years after college. I knew after two years on Wall Street that I wanted to retire by 40.

With Rule 72(t), I can now conservatively utilize all my years of pre-tax savings at a 10% lower tax rate to enjoy now. If I maintain a 2% withdrawal rate or less, I should be able to receive $8,000 a year for the rest of my life and potentially pass on the principal to a loved one. The issue I have is that $400,000 just isn’t a significant enough amount of money for me to enact Rule 72(t). I’ve got enough passive income to pay for all expenses and then some. Instead, I would like to try and grow the $400,000 into $1 or $2 million dollars over the next 10 years and then start withdrawing at age 45 or thereabouts. This is part of the reason why I wrote the post on investing in China.

To grow your portfolio, it’s clearly better to reinvest the dividends into the markets. However, if you are retired, need the income, or don’t plan to live for a long time, utilizing Rule 72(t) is a no brainer. The purpose for all those years of saving for retirement is to actually spend the money in retirement. From a financial standpoint, I can’t think of much worse things than saving for decades only to die without being able to spend your hard earned money.

Readers, why do people think they will make more in retirement than during their prime earnings years? I’m trying to understand why folks would contribute to a ROTH without maxing out a 401(k) or traditional IRA first. For those who have exercised Rule 72(t), what am I missing from my analysis and what more should early retirees think about? Thanks to Mrs. Pops and JayCeezy for their Rule 72(t) thoughts on the previous post!

Best,

Sam

Source: Financial Samurai

How Will the President’s Budget Impact Your Retirement?

Just the other day, President Obama released his 2013 budget. I am not going to get into all of the details of the proposal. I am going to focus in on three interesting topics that pertain to retirement savings and my thoughts on them. Please note that there are many other aspects of his plan, I am just focusing in on the three that I feel will be discussed the most.

courtesy of jannoon028

Photo Courtesy: jannoon028

Adjusting Social Security Benefits Based on Chained CPI

As it stands right now, Social Security benefits are adjusted for inflation every year based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI).  This is commonly referred to as “standard CPI”. The President wants to base the adjustments on “chained CPI”. What exactly is chained CPI? It’s basically just a different way to calculate CPI. I am not going to get into the specifics because I want you to continue reading! The most important things to remember are that by using chained CPI, Social Security benefits will decrease by about 3%, or $3 for every $100 of benefits you receive. Therefore, if you receive an annual benefit of $20,000 you can expect a decrease of roughly $600. That equates to $50 per month less.

The second thing to remember is that when CPI is calculated, it is set forever and is not revised. But chained CPI is revised. In fact, we don’t have the final numbers until two years later! This is worrisome because if this proposal were to pass, we would have to estimate the chained CPI amount and then adjust it accordingly in the future. That could make future adjustments volatile.

There are many that are against changing to chained CPI solely because they don’t want their benefits to decrease. As for me, I don’t see the big deal. It’s not like your benefit is being cut in half or taken away altogether. It’s a small reduction. I realize that many retirees rely on their monthly benefit to survive, but we are in a financial mess right now and everyone is going to have to take a hit, even those who are retired.

Automatic IRAs

The proposal has a section in it for automatically enrolling employees that aren’t covered by a retirement plan at work with an IRA. Contributions would be taken directly from your paycheck and deposited into the account. The federal government would match a portion of your savings as well, via the savers tax credit. You would be able to opt out of getting enrolled automatically. There are also tax credits for small businesses that set up retirement plans for their employees.

I realize that too many people save little to nothing for retirement. Many companies auto enroll new employees into the 401(k) plan now, so seeing an automatic enrollment for IRAs doesn’t come as a big surprise. There is no doubt though that you will hear arguments against this in the form of conspiracy theories. If the government can automatically take your money and invest it into a retirement account, what are they going to take money from you for next? It could be a slippery slope. I am not saying this is going to happen, I am just trying to think of what the opposition is going to say. Personally, I need to find out more about this before I can definitely say whether I am for or against it.

Capping Retirement Account Limits at $3 Million

The President’s budget would limit how much money one can accumulate in a retirement account by capping it at $3 million. The President claims that retirement accounts are designed to help the middle class afford retirement. Some wealthy individuals are abusing this privilege by using tax loopholes to accumulate huge amounts of money in retirement accounts. As of this writing, the Employee Benefit Research Institute performed an analysis that found 0.06 percent of retirement plan account holders who had more than $3 million in these accounts. That isn’t 6% that’s less than 1%.

Personally, I don’t see the point of this. The government is getting their cut of this money regardless. If the money is invested in a Traditional IRA or a 401(k), these are tax deferred accounts. So when the money comes out, you pay the tax on it. And with these types of account, you have to take the money out. The law requires it, calling it your required minimum distribution. I can see a stronger case made against Roth IRAs since you pay tax on that money before it is invested and then never again. Plus with this account, you never have to withdraw the money so it could essentially grow tax-free forever. But even then I don’t see the big deal. When you withdraw money you are going to spend it, which just stimulates the economy.

The conspiracy theorist in me (trust me, I’m not a big one) thinks that maybe this was put in the proposal so that the government gets its money now (and more of it assuming you are in a higher tax bracket now versus retirement), instead of having to wait years into the future. This extra income now will help offset the increased spending under the Affordable Care Act. After all, the budget proposes that this tax will generate $9 billion over the next 10 years.

Final Thoughts

Overall, Washington DC has a spending problem. I am a believer that you can’t tax your way out of debt. You have to have a combination of increased revenues along with lower spending. Unfortunately I don’t see either in what I presented above, or as a whole in the President’s proposal. Some of the increased revenues are coming from increasing the tax on cigarettes. That is a joke. Not because I believe in smoking, but because we are trying to get people to quit smoking. Therefore, the revenue is going to be less and less. The idea to balance the budget is to continually bring in more and more revenue. That can’t happen through taxing cigarettes.

It will be interesting to see where this takes us, as many Republicans have already said they have no interest in this proposal.

What are your thoughts on the President’s budget proposal? Is it headed in the right direction, or is it all just smoke and mirrors?

More Retirement Plan Topics

Can You Have a 401k and an IRA at the Same Time?
How to Take Advantage of Retirement Catch-Up Contributions
How to Make Early Roth IRA Withdrawals
Solo 401k Retirement Plan for the Self-Employed

Written by Don

Click here to leave a comment on this article.

© My Dollar Plan

Source: My Dollar Plan

Is Early Retirement Worth It?

A tired and exhausted goat resting on a benchMahalo! I’m currently on vacation from vacation so apologies if comments or e-mails do not get responded to in a normal fashion. Long time FS reader Jason is sharing his early retirement story and isn’t quite sure whether it’s all worth it. Hopefully you guys can provide some different perspectives as always. Thanks! 

After almost 20 years of work, I feel like I’m on the road to an early retirement. According to my back-of-the-napkin calculations, I’ll be done in another 5 years, give or take, which will put me in my mid-40s. But, as much as it’s inspiring to have a game plan and see the progress, I feel it’s also sucked some of the happiness out of my life.

From No Net Worth To $500 After Four Years Of Work

When I came out of college with a degree in Math in 1995, the economy was not the best and I had no idea if I was even remotely employable. It took me close to 6 months (sending out 10 resumes by mail each day) but I finally landed a beginning-level job in the IT industry. The salary was over minimum wage, but not by much. I was very happy with getting the job, but I felt as though I could do better. I then asked myself “What’s next?”, a phrase that even now drives my wife crazy. Within 1 month, my resume was updated and I was fishing for the next thing.

In the following years, I worked like hell at my career. Working during the day, taking courses at night, learning all I could. I was now a software developer (a job I still do) and was switching jobs every 2-3 years, always negotiating a higher salary. During these years, I also moved to the US from Canada and became familiar with the harsh and often arbitrary immigration system.

It was very clear that if I were to become unemployed, there would be no safety net. Then, the large layoffs from the dot-com implosion started to happen in 2000 and the company I was working for closed. I managed to find something else, but it was not easy and I had to move across the country to do it. Even in a good economy, few companies want to spend extra money on immigration lawyers and paperwork.

Starting A Failed Online Business

At this point, I felt as though I was more on my own than ever, but at least I was working a good paying job. Still, a little voice inside my head kept reminding me that jobs are indeed temporary. I needed to escape somehow; more, I needed an alternative source of income. So I again asked myself, “What’s next?”

I knew the internet (or at least I thought I did), so a friend of mine and I tried to start an online business. For over 2 years, we worked in the evenings and weekends, bootstrapping a company with a few zero-interest credit cards and our own money, trying to make a go of it. I even took a leave of absence from work to try to get more time to work on the business. At our peak, we had three employees working for no salary but only equity and belief in the company. Everyone worked extremely hard but, unfortunately, we went as most small businesses go and we couldn’t survive. Thinking about that business still makes my heart ache to this day. We started to repay the loans and I was exhausted, disillusioned, but I think wiser for the ordeal. The main lesson I took away was that businesses have to have a strong cashflow to survive.

Then, there were some talks of layoffs and, sure enough, they came. I was spared, but others were not so lucky. Still, it could have been me, and the little voice that talked of freedom became even more insistent. I was forced to ask the now-painful question, “What’s next?”

The Economic Crisis of 2009 – Surviving With About A $200,000 Net Worth

By this time, I had a long resume along with some biz experience and was ready to make another move. I was now qualified for the highest-level jobs in my field and I switched to what I saw as an up-and-coming company and a very healthy raise. That first year or two, however, was near-insanity and some days it took all I had to just not walk right out of that place and never look back. But, with the ever-looming potential immigration problems it would cause, I said nothing.

It was during this time that I met the woman who would eventually be my wife. She was my ray of sunshine in a hard world and was responsible for keeping me sane during these years when things seemed like they were going off the tracks. Without her continuing support, I don’t know how I made it each day – I love you, Honey!

Then, one fine day, the whole world went straight down the tubes: Mortgage meltdown, stock market collapse, waves of massive unemployment, and bank bailouts. I braced myself for impact… but none came for me. For whatever reason, not only was I spared but the company I was working at started posting excellent numbers and growing. I was not only safe for the time being, but doing better than ever financially. My instincts, now honed for disaster detection, practically shrieked at me to capitalize on this temporary windfall in whatever way I could.

“What’s next!?!”

Moving On Up

Up until now, I was living in an apartment downtown. The rent was as low as the clientele and there were a host of issues that up until this point, I was tolerating: the constant street noise, the threat of crime, the dirtiness, you get the picture. I decided I would buy myself a house. I had saved up a very good downpayment and was following the news about foreclosures being at record lows. But even then, the houses that were in safe, quiet neighborhoods and not too far from work were still more than I could just pay outright. I would need a mortgage.

Debt was always an anathema to me – my Dad told me stories about paying off his house before he was 30 and living debt free throughout his life. I tried to learn from him, paying cash for everything, and not even getting a credit card until I was almost 30. But, this was not the 1950’s and I resigned myself to it. I still think back to when I signed the papers, when I looked at the large amount owing. I remember the feeling of mentally rolling up my sleeves, ready to pound that number into the ground. I was excited about having a house, but I viewed the mortgage as just a lot of work to do. I would do my best to pay it off as quickly as possible.

As I lived in the house, I started doing little projects. Little projects became bigger ones, and tools started to inhabit my garage. I also started to read. I read about houses. I read about Real Estate; about investing, about rentals and foreclosures and cash flow, about cap rates and tenants. And I found websites where I could look all over my area and see dozens of inexpensive abandoned homes for sale within less than an hours drive of where I lived.

I also read about people having a secure future owning rentals. 401ks, stocks, bonds and most other investments from a retirement perspective are what I like to call depletive; when you collect a payment, the amount of whatever product you have goes down. Given enough time and withdrawing, you will eventually hit zero. (This is exactly why tools like FIRECalc are so popular; no-one wants to hit zero) But rentals are non-depletive. Given a renter willing to pay, the money will continue to flow.

“What’s next?” , said the voice

THIS would be next.

Seeing The Light

One of the toughest parts of deciding to try landlording was my battle with mindset. I had bought my house with the intention of paying it off quickly. But real estate investment nearly requires you to be OK with taking on a lot of debt. In fact, taking on debt makes the investment give a much better return.

So, in order to make this work, I not only had to be OK with my own personal mortgage but also another one, possibly many. Before I signed the paper on my first rental (and many nights for years afterward), I would find myself unable to sleep, sitting downstairs with a stiff drink or three and wondering if this was indeed the right way forward; running the numbers in my head and on paper again and again to make sure that I hadn’t missed anything.

Oh, and did I mention that these rentals were foreclosures? They required work to make them rentable. So, after a long week of insanity at the office, we’d have to pack up the tools and air mattress and live at the rental all weekend. It’s kind of like going camping at a forced-labor facility. Sure, at times it was fun, but more often than not, it was just hard. It’s corny but I imagined my 50-year-old self there, encouraging me to keep going and not to quit. As I sweated my bag off in the summer heat, I imagined him having a fantastic life, thanks to me.

We eventually rented it and, when I got that first rental payment, I felt so vindicated, so good that something finally went the way it should, that my business made money right out of the gate. I also knew deep in my bones that this would be the way forward, the way out.

Going Crazy And Facing Mortality

I started saving up more money for the next rental and studying real estate like crazy. I created a program that would comb the MLS for house listings, do all the calculations, and come up with a top-100-rental list for every city. Weekends were reserved for house showings of what I had dredged up during the previous week. It got to the point where I could look at a home listing and if it was in any of about 5 or 6 cities, I would just know what the rent on it would be and could estimate the ROI (return on investment) in my head. I would buy and rehab two more rentals in this crazy period of time in addition to managing existing tenant issues.

My income and net worth also spiked way up way during this time – I remember seeing my end-of-year statement and thought it was a mistake. The company was doing awesome because everyone left it all on the field every single day. But, the weird thing was that I still felt hard-done-by. Sure, my bills were paid, but everything else was already spent in my head even before I got my mitts on it. All my eggs went into the basket marked “retirement”.

Sadly, this would also be the year that made me confront my own mortality. I had been working very hard and decided to take a break one weekend to visit a friend in the city. There we were, just talking when my entire vision went “white” for a few seconds and I instantly felt like I was on a roller-coaster. My friend called an ambulance and I was rushed to the hospital where they did some scans on me. They didn’t find anything, but for the next couple of days, I could barely walk. This was definitely a wake-up call and I was afraid and also conflicted. I felt like I was on a long march through the desert. If I slowed down or stopped for too long, I’d run out of water and dehydrate. If I went too fast, I could drop dead from heat exhaustion.

Reality Check And Burning Out

After that incident, I decided to take a week-long vacation and see my family back home. I had been averaging less than a week vacation (actually, more like a stay-cation) a year for the past four years, so taking an extra week that year seemed positively luxurious.

Meeting up with family I hadn’t seen in a while made me feel like I had landed on a different planet. Their lives were so different than mine. For example, I was stunned when I was informed that one of my cousins take their whole family every year on a four-week vacation! Absolutely unheard-of! Oh, but it gets better! Another family member declared that they took TEN YEARS off to raise their children at home! I would have been less surprised if they would have just slapped me right across the face. In fact, I may have preferred the slap, looking back on it.

The rest of that vacation was emotionally hard. I felt cheated and very, very stupid. Nearly 20 years of striving, risking, putting it all on the line, while other people have great lives? Throwing my best years away like logs on a fire, just to watch them burn. What have I done?

At this point, I also discovered the early-retirement community, a collection of 30-to-40-somethings that had the means to pull the pin and live a life of relaxation. I won’t lie, reading their stories made me very angry. Angry at them, but even more angry at myself. I was working as hard as I could at both a demanding full-time job, grinding on investment projects and felt like I was still so many years away. What was I doing wrong?

Disgust With Early Retirement

For a long time, I couldn’t bear to read anything about ER and when I did, I just got really down. I tried to analyze where I went wrong in my life, every decision, every move, and I always came up with nothing.

As I started to read more about some of these stories, though, to dig a bit deeper, I noticed something. What people don’t say is even more important than what they do say. The basic assumption about ER is that living frugally is pretty necessary even after you retire. Except for a few cases, the stories I’ve read involve building a small passive investment income, reducing your outlay on (or even canceling) a lot of luxuries, possibly moving to a cheaper area of the country, and finding something part-time to supplement your income to ease the financial pressure.

: I’m actually looking for confirmation or denial of this. If there’s comments allowed on this blog, please share your thoughts. Perhaps I’m wrong – maybe there is something that I’ve missed .

I felt like this was the piece of the puzzle I was missing. Looking at my situation with new eyes, I realized something interesting: I actually could retire. Now. if I moved to somewhere cheaper (this wouldn’t be hard to find), paid cash for a house, and lived like they did on Gilligan’s Island (everyone together now… no lights, no phone, no motor car, not a single luxurieeee…) my rental income and savings could definitely support us.

Did I want to do it? No, definitely not – it wouldn’t feel legitimate. I’d feel that I cheated myself – working for 20 years so that I could hole up in a shack somewhere and do nothing? Things were just starting to take off. But then, to fully reap the rewards of my efforts, I’d have to be tied to this type of life for quite a while to come.

So, that’s where I am now; feeling trapped. It’s hard to enjoy the “now” with all of the stress and I am unable (or maybe just too stubborn) to get off the treadmill.

What’s Next?

This question is now one that depresses me a bit. The way forward, the way out, is clear, but it simply boils down to making the calculation of time vs. money and staying the course. My current expenses are roughly $4,000-$5,000 a month and my current cash flow from rentals is about $4,000 a month so I’m just about covered.

I’m no stranger to hard work, but I’m now getting older and I am worried about my stress-level and my health. I also ask myself if all this is going to be worth it. Five more years of saving and perhaps one more rental should allow for my wife and I to be fully free. My current current net worth is about $800,000.

There are some things that I am very thankful for. Firstly, I could not have done this without my wife. She’s supported me through thick and thin and is truly a life partner in every sense. Secondly, is that I have a plan on how to move forward; continue to learn about investing and execute the plan.

Readers: After reading this article, is this the life you really want? How do you balance the pursuit of early retirement with your daily life? If you have any comments, questions or even advice, I’d love to hear it!

Afterward: When I was first asked to do this article, I was told that it would be cathartic and it definitely was. Revisiting the hard times and reflecting on the years past was very emotional. I’m generally positive about the future, but reflecting on my life, I feel like there were a lot of things I’ve missed. I don’t expect sympathy, mind you – I realize that life is hard for nearly everyone these days. And, at least there’s an end in sight for me and I try to count my blessings.

 Photo: A goat just chilling on the bench, FS.

Source: Financial Samurai

Should I Convert My 401(k) Into A Rollover IRA?

Samoyed doggie Rollover IRAThis past week I decided to convert my 401(k) into a rollover IRA and I wanted to share with you why. As I wrote in a previous article, I took profits in my 401(k) after the S&P 500 reached the 1,551-1,555 range. That’s a 9% gain for the year and inline with my 2013 forecast which now seems conservative with every pundit on the street calling for 1,600+. Where were their calls at the end of last year I don’t know. I guess it’s easy to get bullish after the market has made a strong move!

Given I no longer have earned income, I can no longer contribute to my 401(k). The market is fully valued in my opinion which means I see a greater risk of a pullback during the summer than continued gains. Even though my 401(k) has 40 or so mutual fund choices provided across various sectors, countries, and asset classes it isn’t enough for what I want to do.

THE BENEFITS OF A ROLLING OVER TO AN IRA

1) More selection. I always want to be fully invested in my 401(k) because I’ve got other portions of my net worth in risk-free investments such as CDs. I treat my 401(k) like my own little hedge fund or mutual fund and so should you. You wouldn’t invest in a mutual fund that decides to go 80% cash because the reason why you are investing in a mutual fund is for equity or bond exposure. Equity mutual funds also have restrictions to how much cash they can hold e.g. usually 5% maximum.

My 401(k) is restricted to mutual funds only. I cannot buy specific stocks or ETFs nor can I short any securities as a hedge. To get short the markets I either have to go to cash or buy a bond fund, which admittedly turned out quite well (Read: The Proper Asset Allocation Of Stocks And Bonds By Age and see VUSUX). In essence, I wanted to move from being a macro fund to a hege fund who picked specific stocks with the flexibility to hedge. Names such as Apple, Baidu, and Sina are on my list.

2) Lower costs. The only costs you have when buying a stock is the transaction cost. I get 100 free trades for the first year of my rollover, so my transaction costs will likely be nothing for one year. ETF costs are usually 0.1% or less, which is why the ETF industry has grown tremendously at the expense of the actively managed mutual fund industry.

I ran my 401(k) through Personal Capital’s 401(k) Fee Analyzer and discovered my existing portfolio at the time would have cost me $1,700+ a year. That’s a ridiculous sum of money to be losing. I can easily construct my own portfolio of specific stocks and ETFs for $0 fees or probably less than $100 a year on a ~$400,000 portfolio. That’s a no brainer in my mind. If you haven’t run your 401(k) through the fee analyzer, I strongly suggest you do, especially since it costs nothing.

3) Less trading restrictions. My 401(k) and practically all 401(k)s have trading restrictions for the number of times you can rebalance a year. My old 401(k) restricted me to 13 rebalances a year until I would be locked out from rebalancing for a full three months after the limit was hit. Even if I wanted to move a miniscule 1% from one fund to another fund, that would count as a rebalance.

One probably shouldn’t conduct more than four major rebalances a year, but if you really like to optimize your portfolio by sticking to some specific percentage balances, 401(k) rebalancing restrictions are quite onerous. With my rollover IRA I can trade as much as I want provided I have the cash balance. Read: How Often Should I Rebalance My 401(k) A Year for more thoughts on the topic.

4) Less tax headaches. If you like to trade, you will have to reconcile your trades (report your cost basis) every single year to the IRS. About 10 years ago I completely forgot to report the cost basis for around $2 million in trades for some reason. The IRS therefore thought I made $2 million in trading profits and sent me a tax bill for over $500,000! In reality, I probably made only around $30,000 in profits as the $2 million was simply the total value of transactions. I sent in my individual costs by security and they exonerated me from the bill a couple months later.

With the rollover IRA, you can literally make a million trades and you won’t have to input a million reconciliations because the IRS only taxes you during the time of withdrawal on the total amount. This is something many people do not realize so feel free to ask questions in the comments section if you are unclear. The IRS doesn’t see all the buys and sells in your 401(k) either, but you are restricted from the amount of trades you can make. For those with a tendency to trade, a rollover IRA is much better than a 401(k).

THE NEGATIVES OF ROLLING OVER INTO AN IRA

1) May blow yourself up. With a wider selection of securities to choose from, you will be tempted to invest in things you wouldn’t normally be able to buy in your 401(k). I think Apple ($420), Baidu ($83), and Sina ($47) are buys here for various reasons which I can elaborate on in a later post. Please don’t make stock trades based on what I think by the way. Do your own research as this is not a investing site. All three stocks have been dogs for over 12 months and will likely continue to be dogs until some catalyst arises. I’m happy to buy now and wait for such catalysts at current valuations. Only time will tell whether I’ll be right and we can all look back on this post in six months and laugh. Single stock risk is much higher than market risk.

My 401(k) would probably only fluctuate +/- 15% for a 12 month period based on how I’ve constructed my portfolio. With Apple, Baidu, and Sina I could easily see +/- 30% swings. Please note that I’m just using these three stocks as examples for the present time and ideas are constantly changing. Watch out for that swine + bird flu in China!

2) Might be more stressful. When you’ve got all the power, all the glory and all the pain is on you. I used to check my 401(k) linked to my Personal Capital account along with other portfolios maybe once or twice a week to make sure everything is on track. Now I check my rollover IRA on a daily basis because I’ve got much higher risk with single stock investments. Speak to any hedge fund analyst or manager and they will tell you they are always on because of what’s going on in the Asian markets at night and the European market closing during our early mornings.

You can easily reduce your stress by having a more diversified rollover IRA portfolio that mimics exactly what you would have bought in a 401(k). But I’m a balls to the wall type of guy who bets big if I believe strongly in something. Having 25 positions at 4% each is very uninteresting. Give me five positions at 20% each or even three positions at 33% each and it’s game on! One of my biggest regrets at age 22 was not investing more in a stock that returned 50X in one year. At least I did invest several thousand dollars which I parlayed into my first rental property.

We can talk about portfolio theory and the efficient frontier in another post. I’m very risk loving with my rollover IRA because I don’t need the money and I can’t touch the money without penalty until age 59.5. My pre-tax retirement portfolios have always been seen as funny money where the government could easily taketh away.

3) Have to make an effort. Rolling over your 401(k) into an IRA takes action. Most people I know are either scared of investing or too lazy to stay on top of their investments. I didn’t roll over my 401(k) for one full year because I was happy with just making macro bets and didn’t want to bother trying to figure out how to rollover the portfolio.

Luckily it’s the year 2013 and the internet has made things as easy as cake. I logged onto my Fidelity account and clicked the “rollover” option, answered some questions and viola! My rollover IRA was available the very next day. I think all of the major financial firms that have 401(k) plans also have rollover IRA options. It’s much easier than you think. Just give them a call or click around on the homepage. You can also open an E*TRADE Rollover IRA with this link if you’re looking for other options. I’ve used E*TRADE for over 10 years and they have a massive selection of investment options.

ROLLOVER THAT 401(k) IF YOU CAN

I recommend everybody who has lost a job or who is transitioning to a new job to rollover their 401(k) into an IRA due to an increased selection of investments, lower expenses, and more flexibility. Just be honest with yourself in understanding your own risk tolerance and gambling tendencies. Make no mistake that the stock market is the world’s largest casino. There’s a reason why vernacular such as “making a bet on XYZ stock” exists. Nobody knows the future, but we can all make educated investment decisions.

Please continue to do your best and max out your 401(k)s and IRAs in the meantime. You will surprise yourself by how quickly your contributions add up over time!

Readers, any other positives or negatives about rolling over a 401(k) into an IRA that I may have missed? What did you do with your 401(k) when you switched, got laid off, or retired early?

Regards,

Sam

Source: Financial Samurai

Build Your Financial Nut: 401k Retirement Contributions Matter Less Over Time

financial-nutI want to get everybody talking about their retirement portfolios because making the proper net worth allocation, deciding on how often to rebalance, and running different growth scenarios matters more over time. Contributing the maximum $17,500 a year to your 401K should be standard. If you’re not maxing out your 401K, then you should probably give yourself a timeout to contemplate why you’re shooting yourself in the foot.

As you can tell from my 401K by age chart, contributions add up quickly over time. Assuming you received no company match and suffer no losse, you’ll have at least $100,000 in your 401K in six years. In 10 years, you’ll probably sock away over $200,000 and 30 years you’ll finally reach that magical $1 million dollar mark.

The S&P 500 is up roughly 10% year to date. That’s a health $100,000 gain in your million dollar portfolio in three months without having to do much of anything. I’m cautious about putting new money to work here, but the point is once you’ve amassed a sizable nut there’s no longer a need to work in a bull market.

401k CONTRIBUTIONS AS A PERCENTAGE OF YOUR PORTFOLIO

Contribution
Portfolio Size
Contribution As % Of Portfolio
10% Change In Portfolio

$17,500
$17,500
100.00%
$1,750

$17,500
$30,000
58.33%
$3,000

$17,500
$50,000
35.00%
$5,000

$17,500
$75,000
23.33%
$7,500

$17,500
$100,000
17.50%
$10,000

$17,500
$150,000
11.67%
$15,000

$17,500
$200,000
8.75%
$20,000

$17,500
$300,000
5.83%
$30,000

$17,500
$400,000
4.38%
$40,000

$17,500
$500,000
3.50%
$50,000

$17,500
$1,000,000
1.75%
$100,000

$17,500
$1,500,000
1.17%
$150,000

$17,500
$2,000,000
0.88%
$200,000

$17,500
$3,000,000
0.58%
$300,000

When your portfolio gets to $175,000, your returns will outstrip your maximum 401k contribution amount with a 10% change obviously. It’s my belief that once you reach somewhere around $2500,000 in your 401k, you’ll start caring less about your contributions and start really caring about your investments. Your returns start becoming meaningful and you start to believe $1 million is within reach if you don’t blow up.

Now imagine if you had a $2 million dollar portfolio and returned $200,000. $200,000 is 11.5X greater than a $17,500 contribution. I hope you’ve either become a very savvy investor by now, or have a private wealth manager looking after your money!

BACK TO YOUR MONEY STRENGTH

Making money through work is easy compared to having your money work for you. In my article, “Your Money Strength: How Hard Is Your Money Working For You?” I gave stock stock investing a “B” grade because after you find your desired portfolio of stocks, you hope for the best, rebalance every so often, and collect some dividends.

The reality is once your portfolio grows large enough in size (say $250,000 or greater), your money strength increases to an “A” as demonstrated in the chart above. My 401K at the end of 2011 was around $310,000 and grew by 16% or roughly $48,000 in 2012. The effort required to make $48,000 through investments was easy compared to many other activities. $48,000 is also 2.8X greater than my $17,000 contribution. It’s just important not to confuse brains with a bull market now that the good times are back.

2013 will be the first full year I do not contribute to my 401k given I’ve retired. As a result, I’ve found myself to be much more cautious in my investing style given I no longer have a contribution buffer in case things turn for the worse. My old self would probably have stayed 95% in equities until the markets started rolling over. My new self decided to take profits when the markets were up 9% given that is what I predicted for the full year and wait for the storm that doesn’t seem to come. It’s a disconcerting feeling not maxing out my 401k for the first time in over a decade, so please cherish your 401k if you have the ability to contribute.

MAKE THE EFFORT TO STUDY, SAVE, AND INVEST

Your retirement stock portfolios are worth studying. Think about how much time you put into researching a car, a home, a school, or even an item of clothing. Now compare how much you spend learning about investing and economics. Whether it’s through laziness or fear, I encourage you to get your priorities straight.

Once you build a sizable financial nut, making money becomes much easier. Follow my 1/10th rule for car buying. Put away your credit card if you can’t pay in full. Save and invest for goodness sake. You don’t want to wake up unemployed at 45 years old and complain why you don’t have enough money to survive for the next six months. 20 years of saving and investing should provide you years of reprieve.

Your retirement contributions matter less over time. What matters more is having the right asset allocation and the right holdings. I’m not going to tell you what to invest in or what your risk tolerance is. Only you can decide. Have an open dialogue with your above average spouse or a friend you trust and get going. Your older self will thank you!

Readers, have you reached the point where your returns overshadow your maximum contribution amounts? What portfolio level do you think you need to reach before you’ll feel OK not contributing or maxing out anymore? How large of a financial nut are you shooting for by the time you retire?

Best,

Sam

Source: Financial Samurai